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Fast Five Positions

April 29, 2011 Leave a comment

Heading out the door so I’m just going to post my “Fast Five” positions. I pegged the weekend box office floor for this movie at $70m, hence I traded only those contracts at or below that level.

Fast Five $55m – 15 @ 67.0
Fast Five $60m – 30 @ 58.5
Fast Five $65m – 5 @ 52.5
Fast Five $70m – 5 @ 40.0

UPDATE – Saturday 2am
Always nice to win everything before the weekend’s really even started…

Weekend Estimates

April 24, 2011 Leave a comment

Easter weekend estimates are in for the two wide-release openers: “Water for Elephants” and “Madea’s Big Happy Family.”

Box Office Mojo projects “Madea” made $25.75m, while “Elephants” did an estimated $17.5m for the 3-day frame.

I am confident that all of my positions will expire at 100.

Next weekend brings “Fast Five,” the fifth installment of the popular Fast and Furious franchise. “Fast and Furious,” the film’s fourth installment debuted to a stellar $71m on the first weekend of April 2009. Though tracking data is not out yet, I’ve seen projections ranging from $60m all the way up to $100m on some of the more popular box office forums. Just quickly and off-the-cuff, I see little reason to think “Fast Five” won’t surpass the $71m that “Fast and Furious” did two years ago. After next weekend we officially enter the “summer movie season” when “Thor” invades theaters on May 6th.